Critical Reasoning
Mental model
Deconstruct the argument into Premise (facts) + Assumption (unspoken link) = Conclusion.
Every argument has a gap between its facts and its conclusion. Your job is to find that invisible assumption. Strengthening an argument means verifying the assumption; weakening it means attacking the assumption.
Method
- Read the question stem first to know your goal (Strengthen, Weaken, Find Assumption, or Infer).
- Identify the Conclusion (the author's main claim) and the Premise (the evidence provided).
- Spot the Assumption: What must be true for the Premise to logically lead to the Conclusion?
- Evaluate options against the Assumption. For 'Weaken' questions, find the option that breaks the link. For 'Assumption' questions, find the option the author implicitly relies on.
- Eliminate out-of-scope options that do not directly address the logic gap.
Worked example
Problem: Argument: The new UI reduces clicks to checkout. Therefore, our revenue will increase. Question: What weakens this argument?
- Identify the goal: Weaken the argument.
- Identify Premise: New UI reduces clicks to checkout.
- Identify Conclusion: Revenue will increase.
- Spot the Assumption: Reduced clicks lead to more completed purchases (and thus more revenue).
- Formulate attack: What if fewer clicks actually hurt sales? (e.g., users accidentally buy and refund, or users feel rushed and abandon).
- Select option matching attack: 'Customers often abandon carts if they feel the checkout process lacks security steps.'
Answer: Customers often abandon carts if they feel the checkout process lacks security steps.
Shortcuts
- In 'Weaken' questions, the correct answer introduces new information that attacks the assumption, not the premise. Never argue with the premise.
- In 'Inference' questions, the correct answer must be 100% true based ONLY on the facts given. Avoid any leaps of logic.
Common mistakes
- Attacking the Premise: Trying to weaken an argument by saying the evidence is false. In critical reasoning, you must accept the premise as fact and attack the logic linking it to the conclusion.
- Choosing 'Out of Scope' answers: Picking an option that sounds smart but addresses a different demographic, timeframe, or topic than the argument.
Glossary
- premise
- A fact or piece of evidence given in an argument to support a claim.
- weaken
- To make an argument less convincing by attacking its assumptions.
- strengthen
- To make an argument more convincing by proving its assumptions are true.
Recall questions
- What is the formula for a standard argument in critical reasoning?
- When asked to weaken an argument, what specific part of the argument should you attack?
- In an 'Inference' question, are you allowed to use outside knowledge to reach a conclusion?
Questions & answers
Premise: City A implemented a bike-sharing program. Traffic dropped 10%. Conclusion: Bike-sharing programs reduce traffic. What is the assumption?
The drop in traffic was not caused by another factor, like a new highway or economic downturn.
Approach: Find the gap. The author assumes correlation (bikes and traffic drop) implies causation. The assumption rules out alternate causes.
Premise: All servers run Linux. Server X crashed. Inference: Did Server X run Linux?
Yes.
Approach: Apply pure deductive logic. If all servers run Linux, and X is a server, then X runs Linux. No outside assumptions needed.
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